Conf = Patriot ------ State = en
Mascot = ------ Coach = halGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.1158142 home-field advantage = -0.74 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 93.4) 12-10 214 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 90.4) 18- 5 218 A Delaware Atlantic Sun (13- 5, 90.4) 15-10 221 A High Point Big South ( 8-10, 85.9) 14- 6 228 H Florida Big 12 (15- 3, 95.4) 14-11 307 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 91.4) 19- 8 310 H Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (13- 5, 92.2) 13-10 314 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 87.5) 17- 6 317 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 90.6) 11-10 321 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 87.8) 18- 3 325 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 84.8) 11- 6 328 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 7, 92.2) 14-19 404 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 88.2) 16- 5 411 H Army Patriot (14- 4, 93.6) 14- 8 415 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 84.3) 24- 1 418 A Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 86.3) 23- 7 422 H American Patriot ( 4-12, 84.3) 18- 5 430 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 7, 87.5) 18- 8 502 H Army Patriot (14- 4, 93.6) 17-11 508 H Massachusetts MAC (16- 2, 91.7)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Virginia 12-10 2 1 0.98 214 H Villanova 18- 5 13 5 1.55 218 A Delaware 15-10 5 4 1.00 221 A High Point 14- 6 8 8 0.00 228 H Florida 14-11 3 0 + 2.57 307 A South Florida 19- 8 11 2 ++ 4.03 310 H Jacksonville 13-10 3 3 -0.67 314 H Bucknell 17- 6 11 8 0.00 317 H Arizona State 11-10 1 5 -- -4.23 321 A Holy Cross 18- 3 15 6 0.40 325 H Lehigh 11- 6 5 11 - -2.00 328 A Loyola (MD) 14-19 -5 2 --- -7.16 404 H Boston University 16- 5 11 7 0.00 411 H Army 14- 8 6 2 + 3.79 415 A Lafayette 24- 1 23 10 0.00 418 A Colgate 23- 7 16 8 0.00 422 H American 18- 5 13 11 0.00 430 H Bucknell 18- 8 10 8 0.00 502 H Army 17-11 6 2 + 3.79UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Loyola (MD) 14-19 -5 2 --- -7.16 317 H Arizona State 11-10 1 5 -- -4.23 325 H Lehigh 11- 6 5 11 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A South Florida 19- 8 11 2 ++ 4.03 228 H Florida 14-11 3 0 + 2.57 411 H Army 14- 8 6 2 + 3.79 502 H Army 17-11 6 2 + 3.79
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.11 Power Rank................. 13 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 75.90 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 42 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6728 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 22 RPI Rating............... .6694 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 1.1 Championship Rank ......... 13 Selection sum ........... 30 Selection Rank ............ 9 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 85. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 6 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 105. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 16.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 1 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 9.7